Your Thoughts Exactly: Its The Glooooooooove

Friday, August 06, 2004

 

Its The Glooooooooove

Ah the ups and downs of sports. In a week you can lose a childhood hero from a baseball team, and gain an all-time favorite on an NBA team. That's right folks, finally Rick Fox...HAS COME BACK to Boston.
Wait I hate that hairy fruit. Anyways Danny Ainge and Theo Epstein must have switched souls sometime around June. Ainge has now by most accounts dominated the NBA draft, and turned Chucky Atkins into Gary Payton, one of my top-ten favorite non-Celtics. Granted I wish it were 1999 when we had gotten him, but I would much rather watch an old Glove run the show than boring Chucky Atkins. Plus both Payton and Fox are gone after next year. Thus we traded a old point guard with two years left and a young point guard who had been replaced with this year’s pick, for a shot at GP making a last gasp, cap space in the offseason, and a future first-rounder to replace Banks’ value. Excellent work Danny. Plus the trash-talking of next year’s team is going to be phenomenal.

On the electoral college: As Derek and Dave pointed out, while making opposite arguments, the electoral college means that votes are weighted differently for people in different states. I personally think we should get rid of it and go to straight elections, with a run-off between the top two candidates. I think the electoral college was created when the country was viewed much more as a union of individual states. The Civil War changed that, since then we have been one nation, under God. The best argument I have seen is Stephen’s who said that the electoral college forces candidates to the center. I personally think that much of this centrism is political promise rather than political action. The centrism of the Clinton and Bush administrations was more a product of opposition-led Congress than the electoral college. There are other checks on the system that act to stem extremism. In addition, a run-off would mean candidates couldn’t make extreme campaign promises, because they would be fighting for other candidates’ voters in the final election.

I am thinking of trying to do a Hip-Hop week at the blog next week, to try and bring in some a new topic. I also am planning to go issue by issue with Kerry versus Bush to tell you people what their plans are for the future in important policy areas. I was going to do this earlier, but I can’t find anything that Bush has promised to do. I have found a site where he talks about spending record amounts of money on all sorts of issue, to show his commitment. Which is funny, considering he is supposed to be a conservative. Hopefully he and his party will have a more developed plan after the Republican convention.

Comments:
I reiterate my belief that our primary concern should be preventing a tyranny of the majority. The electoral college is not merely a vestige of a time when states were more autonomous; it was a compromise adopted by the framers of the constitution specifically to make it more difficult for

At a time when states were more autonomoous, the concern may be been to limit the power of large states. Now that states are less autonomous, the original rationale is still appropriate and valid - simply being the choise of a majority of voters is not adequate grounds for election.

To be elected a candidate must be he majority choice in a broader swath of the country. That forces candidates toward inclusiveness instead of divisiveness and blunts campaigns based on us vs. them.

All of that is good and healthy for a democracy.
 
Blogger mangled the end of my first paragraph - sorry.

Here's the reconstructed paragraph:

I reiterate my belief that our primary concern should be preventing a tyranny of the majority. The electoral college is not merely a vestige of a time when states were more autonomous; it was a compromise adopted by the framers of the constitution specifically to make it more difficult for one particular group to trample on another group.
 
I respect that you want to maintain safeguards against a tyranny of the majority. Two thoughts though, 1) isn't there a way to do that without skewing voter power as Derek originally pointed out? That's why my idea for a run-off as an alternative method. 2) Many many other countries, have national popular elections without the electoral system and seem to be doing quite fine, in terms of political fairness and avoiding a tryanny of the majority. Its hard for me to buy that the electoral college is the mechanism reponsible for this when so many other countries succeed without it.
 
in response to a couple of the comments from the few posts about the electoral college:

Stu, Maine and Nebraska already do your ideas about changing the college - i believe, but am too lazy to verify, that one does a proprotional allocation of electors and the other does the constant 2 electors by a winner take all method, while electing the others by congressional district. the problem is that it is more valuable for the states to go with a winner take all method, so these changes are impossible, as states set their method of electing electors. i guess you could constitutionally change the system to demand that states use a certain method, but that could never happen. still worth discussing in theory though.

and derek, yes, i know there are several parties. but we still call this a two party system. in a popular vote, those minority parties would get much more support because their votes wouldn't be wasted, just as you argue. all votes would count, and voting a third party just to help them reach the threshhold for federal funding would be worthwhile as a step in the slow progression of the party. i think it would be extremely likely that many candidates would win with well under 40% of the vote. This happens all across the globe in nations with direct popular votes, preferential voting, runoff voting, and many other systems.

the vote of 2000 is definitely an odd and unwelcome outcome - the winner gaining not simply less than 20% of the vote, but less than another candidate. This was only the 4th time this has happened though, and considering likelihood of irrational outcomes under other systems, this isn't so bad. Yes, in a popular vote you wouldn't have any outcome like this, because the winner would get more votes than anyone else, but, as i said, i believe the winner could very likely have close to a third of the vote. I think i'd prefer a winner who loses the popular vote 48-49 more than a winner who wins with 35%. on candidate had slightly more than half of the country vote for someone else, while the other has nearly 2/3 of the country vote for someone else. the good thing about popular voting and the likelihood that third parties getting more of the vote is that congressional seats would be filled by more third party candidates, as voters tend to vote along the party line of their presidential choice in a presidential year. i think this would be a good thing.

as for other voting systems, there are many. there are various forms of preferential/ranking systems, where the top 1, 2, 3, or more (usually no more than 3) choices are counted equally. also, a common system is a ranking system where the top vote is counted, but the ballots that have as their first choice the candidate who gets the least 1st place votes get dropped, and the second place votes on those ballots get used instead. this can create a perverse outcome in which a candidate could actually WIN under a certain set of ballots, while if more people prefered the candidate, the candidate would LOSE. This is called alternate voting, and continues (take the 2nd to last in the popular vote, find ballots ranking him/her first, and apply the 2nd choice, then 3rd to last, etc) until someone has a majority. France has a popular vote with a runoff between the top two in case of no majority winner. there are all sorts of election methods, each with its own advantages and flaws; they create potentially irrational and perverse outcomes, foster various forms of strategic voting, empower or harm minority parties, and grant certain voters more power than others. Our system has flaws, certainly, but also has its benefits - requiring widespread support, maintaining a 2-party balance that has kept this country stable for centuries, and generating very few outcomes in which the winner has less support than a loser. I would like a mixed system of proportional representation (based on a vote for a party's slate) and and single member district (what we have now) in congress, to generate a few more minority members, but for presidential elections, i'll stick with what we've got.
 
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